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2024-12-14 12:42:50

Judging from the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's A-shares can break the curse of Black Thursday, mainly because at 11 o'clock, it announced the great benefits of personal pensions. After-hours, another heavy meeting was held. Although deficit ratio and the ultra-long-term special national debt were mentioned, Lao Liu reminded me that before the small high point of 3494.87 points was not broken, it was not appropriate to blindly chase up.To sum up, the repair and rebound in the past two days have not changed the judgment logic of the small high point. Although I am still optimistic about the market outlook, after careful measurement, I find that it is still very difficult to continue to accelerate after the market breaks through a new high. The current price-volume coordination is not supported for the time being. Therefore, I still tend to take the initiative to step back and gain momentum before I enter the acceleration cycle.A-shares: A sudden positive reversal of black Thursday, tomorrow, the stock market will once again break through 3500 points?


However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.First of all, the sudden good blessing, mysterious funds moved again. Simply speaking, the personal pension is good. At the end of last year, the statistical scale was almost 185.5 billion. Compared with pension insurance and enterprise annuity, it can be said that this growth space is huge. It's just that many people don't understand this, so I'll say two things: First, each person is limited to 12,000 yuan a year. In our country, all purchases are good things, so there should be no objection to this!However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.


This wave of market rose for 12 days, only fell for 3 days in the middle, but the increase was only 6.19%, which was a proper slow pace! Next, either the volume is accelerated, or the high probability is to step back and gain momentum before breaking through. In response, you can wait and see by holding shares. If the short-term rise is high, remember to drop the bag and adjust the position. If this wave underperforms the market, it will be enough to make up for the increase with performance support.In terms of sectors, except for instruments, semiconductors, optics and optoelectronics, the sectors of other industries generally rose today. Of course, commercial department stores and consumption directions still led the rise. There are several details in the session that need to be noted. After 10 o'clock, consumption stagflation fell, and then the market for drinking and taking medicine resumed. What really reversed the decline was the strength of the big financial collective, which led the index to a wave of turnaround.

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